US stocks rose early Monday as Led Wall Street to the third quarter earnings season And prepared for a batch of inflation reports.
Chicago Federal Reserve Chairman Charles Evans Sentiment was given a boost early Monday with upbeat comments at the National Association of Business Economics conference.
“I think we can bring down inflation relatively quickly while also avoiding a recession,” Evans said.
Still, the CBOE volatility index (^ VIX), which measures the short-term outlook for market turmoil, approached the 33 level. Treasury yields extended their recent high. Oil is down after rising 17% last weekThis is the biggest jump since Russia invaded Ukraine.
The moves come after a volatile week that began with a violent rally and Concluded with a sharp sale Which erased much of the resulting gains. The most recent slip was driven by Strong jobs report for the month of September That assured investors Fed officials It is unlikely to turn away from restrictive monetary policy anytime soon.
The benchmark S&P 500 is down 23.6% year-to-date as of Friday’s close, but nine individual trading days include that full 32-point drop, according to Nicholas Colas of DataTrek Research.
He added that the largest share of the days of decline occurred around the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or Fed-related events, one of which was driven by tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and two came on the heels of poor corporate earnings releases. Next week, all these factors are expected to test the US stock market.
Investors are bracing for the bank’s earnings spree that usually marks the start of a new earnings-reporting period, with results from JPMorgan (JPM), city (c), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Morgan Stanley (Ms) All are due. Other companies scheduled to report this week include PepsiCo (PEPand Delta AirlinesDA).
Analysts prepare for Painful earnings season Ongoing inflation, rising interest rates and geopolitical headwinds affect corporate profits.
“The bear market won’t end until the deteriorating fundamental picture is completely ruled out,” Mike Wilson, chief equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a note.
Also on Wall Street Consumer price data for September, which is one of the most important reports ahead of the upcoming policy-setting meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in November. While the headline reading is expected to dip again, all eyes will be on the “core” component of the report, which excludes volatile food and energy categories. Bloomberg’s core CPI rose to 6.5% from 6.3% during the year, according to the latest estimates.
“Volatility in the equity and fixed income markets will continue until there is a clear indication that inflation is under control,” Peter Essely, Head of Portfolio Management at Commonwealth Financial Network, said in a recent note.
Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter Tweet embed
“Infuriatingly humble analyst. Bacon maven. Proud food specialist. Certified reader. Avid writer. Zombie advocate. Incurable problem solver.”